I recently travelled in an almost empty bus through the hills of Limburg. Some tapes protected the driver
against the passengers, because these might have been infected with the corona virus.
There was only one other passenger, an old woman from abroad. She was sitting in a shrunk-up posture at the rear of the
bus, with a shawl before the mouth. What was she so afraid of?
I thought of the info about the epidemic on the website of the Dutch Broadcast Foundation, the NOS. Some reader asked whether an infected person can recover, and the NOS gave the 'reassuring' answer that 'half of the infected recover'. They 'illustrated' this with the numbers of recorded infections and recoveries at that day: about thousand infections and five hundred recoveries. No wonder people get afraid.
In reality, the chance that an infected person dies from the virus is much less than fifty-fifty: the experts of the British government estimate it's less than 1 percent. Even for persons of at least eighty years of age the chance is less than 10 percent. In most of the cases the infection causes only mild illness and is not recorded. Recoveries aren't recorded, either, or only after a long time.
However, the virus can make people very ill.
This happened to a Dutchman who did winter sports in Austria and after that carnival in the Dutch province of Brabant.
He got fever and a dry cough, and was extremely tired.
He and his contacts were locked in quarantine, to prevent situations as bad as in Bergamo in Italy.
Since president Trump denied entry into America to almost all European people, trying in vain to keep the epidemic at our side of the ocean, the mass media communicated about the corona virus only. If somewhere some cat was named Corona, this was a hot news item in the newspapers. The people panicked and began hoarding crackers and toilet paper.
But was corona worse than an ordinary winter flu that causes a lot of deaths of old people every year? Didn't much more people die of other causes, like cancer and heart diseases? Because we will all die some day. Only a healthy life style can postpone that moment.
We can't say Donald Trump tackled the corona crisis well, because in the United States too many people have died.
But he did make some observations worth thinking about. For example, he said much more people die by car accidents
than by corona, but still we don't prevent people from using their cars. He also says the cure should not be worse than the
disease, talking about the unemployment and poverty as consequences of the lockdown by order of
the authorities in states like California.
Of course, he lays the blame of the worldwide pandemic on China. He says the dictatorial regime reacted too slowly
upon the outbreak of it in Wuhan.
President Bolsonaro of Brazil, too, would prefer to cancel all corona measures that the governors of the states have introduced, because these measures would make too many small enterprises crash at short notice.
Recently, a professor of philosophy said on television that most people of a hundred years ago would not even have recognized the corona pandemic as a separate disease, whereas the Spanish flu then harassed the world and made many young people die.
While in the Netherlands we are rising slowly but surely from the 'intelligent lockdown' and entering the
'social distancing society', I gratefully look back at the freedom we enjoyed.
The coffee houses were closed, but I could walk the dog and travel in buses everywhere. I didn't have to wear face masks,
we were even advised not to wear them. The authorities only said we should keep each other at arm's length and
wash our hands frequently, and they relied upon it.
In the Catholic countries of Europe, a much stricter lockdown had to be maintained by the police, because in these
countries people don't trust authorities nor politicians.
The virologists cooperating with our prime minister Mark Rutte wanted to have the virus circulate among young people in a controlled way to build up immunity of groups. The restricted lockdown should help to stop the exponential growth and flatten the curve of the number of new corona patients in the hospitals and guarantee the nursing.
At the same time, the people who are being nursed in nursing homes had to be isolated in a strict quarantine.
Is the virus in our country on a summer leave? In any case, it will be back after the summer. It turns out people
who've had only mild corona complaints, aren't very immune, either.
Meanwhile, the virus is mutating, into a milder variant or into a worse one. We hope a second wave will bring
less problems, because we will be better prepared.
The corona measures have been mitigated: schools opened before the summer holiday, terraces are open again, too, though with restrictions, and public transport has the normal time tables. Alas, we have to wear a mouth mask in the bus, and in the shops there are prescribed walking routes. We even have to keep distance from other people in the open air. So the mitigation doesn't immediately make life more pleasant.
New research shows infection happens for the most part when groups of people come together in rooms with bad ventilation, not by direct contact but by aerosols, droplets that keep floating in the air. Then we can replace the pernicious social distancing by a relatively simple ventilation measure.
The epicenter of the flu is now in America. In Europe, there are new outbreaks, too, for which partial lockdowns
are considered adequate. However, ever more people think the measures aren't proportional at all.
Too many people fall into poverty and loneliness. Many scientists say so. Some even suspect
there is a deep state that wants to control us from a laboratory. They no longer accept to be locked up and don't
want a vaccine they don't trust. I myself find the mouth mask a violation of my physical integrity.
"Never let a good crisis go to waste", Winston Churchill once said. We have an unique opportunity to tackle air pollution. Perhaps working at home will stay facilitated, so that we can leave our cars in the garage.
But what will we do if in the future a new virus emerges, if we don't keep at a distance from wild nature?
Most important is there should be enough help when there comes a sudden outbreak. So we have to form an army of reservists to receive the new patients. Is conscription for civilian service an option? Then we need not isolate the sick and the weak too much, because we can look them up. For the only thing we have to fear is fear itself.